Species · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Downy Woodpecker Population Analysis

PicidaeForest birdsDryobates pubescens

Downy Woodpecker has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Downy Woodpecker

The smallest North American woodpecker, the Downy is a familiar black-and-white visitor to woodlots, parks and feeders across the continent.

Size
5.5–7 in long, about 1 oz (14–18 cm, 27 g)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Insects and larvae from bark and stems, plus seeds and suet.
Range
Recorded on 3,319 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 49 states, most concentrated in the Appalachian Mountains.
Family
Picidae · Forest birds
Conservation
Least Concern

Notable Downy Woodpecker TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Downy Woodpecker. See the full index history below.

Downy Woodpecker Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.8 (95% range 1.4–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.8 (95% range 1.4–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.81.42.2
20271.81.42.2
20281.81.42.2
20291.81.42.2
20301.81.42.2

Where the Downy Woodpecker Is Detected

BBS routes recording Downy Woodpecker, sized by most recent count.

Downy Woodpecker Population Trend by State

Downy Woodpecker population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabama+9%1968109
Alaska-42%198359
Arizona-70%19759
Arkansas+49%196961
California+36%1970157
Colorado-42%197481
Connecticut+2%196820
Delaware+172%196817
Florida+242%1968117
Georgia+79%1968111
Idaho-72%197742
Illinois+88%1968105
Indiana+40%196868
Iowa+33%196938
Kansas+120%196959
Kentucky-42%196864
Louisiana+381%196994
Maine+95%196875
Maryland+44%196876
Massachusetts+218%196832
Michigan+72%1968105
Minnesota+119%196990
Mississippi+319%196874
Missouri+178%196993
Montana-57%197152
Nebraska+47%196962
Nevada+23%19958
New Hampshire+71%196826
New Jersey+127%196843
New Mexico-85%198613
New York+68%1968129
North Carolina+63%1968109
North Dakota+38%196939
Ohio+116%196888
Oklahoma+87%196967
Oregon+16%197088
Pennsylvania+73%1968138
Rhode Island+219%19695
South Carolina+36%196850
South Dakota-18%196940
Tennessee+104%196855
Texas+85%1969103
Utah-47%197741
Vermont-26%196826
Virginia+1%196888
Washington-19%197083
West Virginia-14%196864
Wisconsin+123%196898
Wyoming-58%197548

Downy Woodpecker Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Downy Woodpecker population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
BCR 2+48%19865
BCR 4-37%198340
Northern Pacific Rainforest+6%1970119
Great Basin-23%1970104
Northern Rockies-42%1971125
Prairie Potholes+29%196995
Boreal Hardwood Transition+8%1968122
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain+67%196886
Atlantic Northern Forest+47%1968153
Sierra Nevada-7%197128
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau+97%1973114
Badlands and Prairies+65%197258
Shortgrass Prairie-6%197530
Central Mixed Grass Prairie-9%1969108
Edwards Plateau+95%19777
Oaks and Prairies+105%196962
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie+109%1968277
Prairie Hardwood Transition+167%1968161
Central Hardwoods-6%1968165
West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas+114%1969109
Mississippi Alluvial Valley+200%196870
Southeastern Coastal Plain+94%1968345
Appalachian Mountains+38%1968402
Piedmont+66%1968172
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast+43%1968161
Peninsular Florida+363%196872
Coastal California+23%197085
Sonoran and Mojave Deserts-42%19794
Sierra Madre Occidental-91%19758
Gulf Coastal Prairie+163%196929

Downy Woodpecker Conservation Status

Least Concern

The IUCN Red List rates this species as Least Concern. Our route-weighted index shows it up about 4% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.