Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Downy Woodpecker In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Downy Woodpecker in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 88% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
+88%Since 1973
112Routes In Region
50Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Downy Woodpecker has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 88% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to rise about 22% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.14 (95% range 0.06–0.23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+22%Change by 2029
0.14Projected 2029 index
0.06–0.2395% range
±77.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
| 2026 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
| 2027 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
| 2028 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
| 2029 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 0.23 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Fox Park | WYOMING | 7 | 2019 |
| La Sal | UTAH | 5 | 2000 |
| Haycamp Mesa | COLORADO | 4 | 2022 |
| Cheesman Lk | COLORADO | 3 | 2024 |
| Beck | UTAH | 3 | 1986 |
| Fish Lake Nf | UTAH | 3 | 2023 |
| Colona | COLORADO | 2 | 1998 |
| Dolores | COLORADO | 2 | 1969 |
| Colona 2 | COLORADO | 2 | 2017 |
| Blackhead Pk | COLORADO | 2 | 2021 |
| Flattops | COLORADO | 2 | 2015 |
| Pinon | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
| Comanche Pk | COLORADO | 2 | 2011 |
| Mcphee Res. | COLORADO | 2 | 2015 |
| South Fork | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
| Radium | COLORADO | 2 | 2011 |
| Navajo Lake | UTAH | 2 | 2024 |
| Skyline Driv | UTAH | 2 | 2006 |
| Richfield | UTAH | 2 | 2007 |
| Beck 2 | UTAH | 2 | 2009 |
| Heber Mtn. | UTAH | 2 | 2014 |
| Dry Park | ARIZONA | 1 | 2021 |
| Tsaile | ARIZONA | 1 | 1993 |
| Yampa | COLORADO | 1 | 2023 |
| Harmony | COLORADO | 1 | 2008 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.