BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Downy Woodpecker In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Downy Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 318% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+318%Since 1968
71Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Downy Woodpecker has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 318% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 5.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.5 (95% range 3.1–5.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-18%Change by 2029
4.5Projected 2029 index
3.1–5.995% range
±11.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.32.95.7
20264.43.05.7
20274.43.05.8
20284.53.15.9
20294.53.15.9

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Downy Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida.
NobletonFLORIDA202024
CroomFLORIDA202024
Citrus ParkFLORIDA142024
Green SwampFLORIDA132024
Island GroveFLORIDA112024
CitrusFLORIDA102024
FlemingtonFLORIDA91999
GoetheFLORIDA92024
San AntonioFLORIDA82024
ChildsFLORIDA82022
Winter GardnFLORIDA82019
Mt. OliveFLORIDA82024
ChassahowitzFLORIDA82024
BelmoreFLORIDA72024
Mabel 2FLORIDA72019
Polk CityFLORIDA62024
MabelFLORIDA62011
KenansvilleFLORIDA62024
PinelandsFLORIDA62024
Ridge HarborFLORIDA62024
MicanopyFLORIDA51991
St AugustineFLORIDA52024
AlturasFLORIDA51986
CrewsvilleFLORIDA52024
Dale MabryFLORIDA41987

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.