BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Downy Woodpecker In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyForest birds

Downy Woodpecker in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 222% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+222%Since 1968
70Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Downy Woodpecker has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 222% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 5.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.0 (95% range 3.5–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029
5.0Projected 2029 index
3.5–6.595% range
±27.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.83.36.3
20264.83.36.3
20274.93.46.4
20284.93.46.5
20295.03.56.5

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Downy Woodpecker in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Baton RougeLOUISIANA262024
RoselandLOUISIANA252024
KraemerLOUISIANA192024
CarlisleLOUISIANA151988
River RoadLOUISIANA142024
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY132021
Delta N.F.MISSISSIPPI112021
ShawLOUISIANA102024
MayflowerLOUISIANA102024
South BendARKANSAS92023
RamahLOUISIANA92024
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI92024
MaynardARKANSAS82024
AtchafalayaLOUISIANA82024
Morgan CityLOUISIANA71986
RayvilleLOUISIANA72008
BrousvilleLOUISIANA72024
FrogmoreLOUISIANA72024
Rayville 2LOUISIANA72024
EnglandARKANSAS62024
KeystoneLOUISIANA62013
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI62024
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI62022
HarrisburgARKANSAS42019
TransylvaniaLOUISIANA42022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.