BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Downy Woodpecker In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Downy Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 109% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+109%Since 1969
109Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Downy Woodpecker has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 109% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.5–4.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029
2.9Projected 2029 index
1.5–4.295% range
±11.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.81.54.2
20262.81.54.2
20272.81.54.2
20282.91.54.2
20292.91.54.2

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Downy Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
LockesburgARKANSAS122019
NanceARKANSAS112024
Derry 2LOUISIANA102024
WechesTEXAS102024
StarkARKANSAS92024
GoodwillLOUISIANA92024
SmyrnaTEXAS92010
Mount UnionLOUISIANA72024
MatoyOKLAHOMA72000
Union HillTEXAS72024
PrincetonARKANSAS62021
FillmoreLOUISIANA61989
TroutLOUISIANA62024
ManyLOUISIANA61992
Fishville 2LOUISIANA62024
Burr FerryLOUISIANA62024
PhillipsOKLAHOMA62008
IndianolaOKLAHOMA62024
Powell Park 2TEXAS62024
BlakelyARKANSAS51999
CartervilleLOUISIANA51992
WomackLOUISIANA52023
Ivan 2LOUISIANA52016
Ouachita NfOKLAHOMA52024
Town BluffTEXAS52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.