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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesForest birds

Downy Woodpecker in Nebraska has increased: up 47% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+47%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Downy Woodpecker Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Downy Woodpecker in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Downy Woodpecker Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Nebraska is projected to fall about 12% by 2030 — from 0.50 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.44 (95% range 0.00–0.92). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.44Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.9295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±21.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Nebraska is projected to fall about 12% by 2030 — from 0.50 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.44 (95% range 0.00–0.92). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.450.000.93
20270.450.000.93
20280.450.000.93
20290.440.000.92
20300.440.000.92

Downy Woodpecker Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Downy Woodpecker in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Almeria620141976
Johnson420251967
Eagle Creek420251968
Crawford420241980
Winside320031973
Murray Lake320051999
Tilden320242021
Berwyn320102000
Julian220241970
Holbrook220241972
Bartlett219761968
Paxton220121978
Dalton220251995
Sparta220211976
Kennedy220171980
Brady220251996
Arthur220232015
Nenzel220252018
Chambers220252023
Madison220252025
Murdock220252018
Liberty 2220072005
Liberty120031967
Belvidere120191991
Seward120181969

Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.