Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Alaska
Downy Woodpecker in Alaska has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
-37%Since 1983
59Routes In State
43Years
Notable Downy Woodpecker Trends in Alaska
No notable trend signals for Downy Woodpecker in Alaska. See the full index history below.
Downy Woodpecker Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Alaska is projected to fall about 34% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.00–0.43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-34%Change by 2029
0.12Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4395% range
±77.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| 2026 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| 2027 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| 2028 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| 2029 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
Downy Woodpecker Survey Routes in Alaska
| Ft. Richrdsn | 6 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Burma Road | 4 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Petersville | 4 | 2022 | 2021 |
| Thorne Bay | 4 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Manley Ht Sp | 3 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Ruby | 3 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Kenny Lake | 3 | 1997 | 1986 |
| Hather Creek | 2 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Nicholai Sl | 2 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Porcupine R. | 2 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Katmai N.P. | 2 | 2014 | 2005 |
| Hope | 2 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Thorne Bay 2 | 2 | 2017 | 2013 |
| Kodiak 2 | 2 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Eagle | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Circle | 1 | 2012 | 1986 |
| Chiniak | 1 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Birch Lake | 1 | 2011 | 2006 |
| Livengood | 1 | 2019 | 2018 |
| Nabesna Road | 1 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Kuskulana | 1 | 1993 | 1990 |
| Tower Bluffs | 1 | 2011 | 1996 |
| Chistochina | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Mccarthy Rd2 | 1 | 2021 | 1991 |
| Stikine River | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.