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Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Georgia

All statesForest birds

Downy Woodpecker in Georgia has surged: up 79% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+79%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
111Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Downy Woodpecker Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Downy Woodpecker has surged in Georgia: up 79% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Downy Woodpecker Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.2 (95% range 3.1–5.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.2Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.1–5.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.2 (95% range 3.1–5.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.13.05.1
20274.13.05.2
20284.13.15.2
20294.23.15.2
20304.23.15.3

Downy Woodpecker Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Downy Woodpecker in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hollonville 21720222019
Everett City1320191977
Fitzgerald1020251966
Rutledge1020251975
Shiloh1020252012
Kite Lake1020252015
Woodstock1020212006
Hiram920181975
Douglas919841978
Ousley920252015
Dickey920182013
Good Hope920252005
Rock Branch920252005
Darien820191966
Maxeys820241966
Bowdon820251973
Pitts820251980
Whitesburg820251992
Colonels Island820232005
Candler820252009
Shannon720191976
Folkston720211997
White Hill720252007
Hawkinsville620241970
Baxter620221975

Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.