BirdAnalyst
Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesForest birds

Downy Woodpecker in Tennessee has surged: up 122% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+122%Since 1968
55Routes In State
58Years

Notable Downy Woodpecker Trends in Tennessee

long arc increasecomputed index

Downy Woodpecker has surged in Tennessee: up 122% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Downy Woodpecker Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Tennessee is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 6.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.1 (95% range 2.4–5.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-32%Change by 2029
4.1Projected 2029 index
2.4–5.795% range
±23.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.02.35.6
20264.02.45.7
20274.02.45.7
20284.12.45.7
20294.12.45.7

Downy Woodpecker Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Downy Woodpecker in Tennessee.
Big Sandy1820241966
Humboldt1820241966
Collinwood1320241966
Indian Mound 21220232004
Mansfield1120241966
Silerton920241966
Pond Creek920241966
Jasper820241967
Corryton Rd820191966
Wrigley720221966
Red Bank719781966
Brownsville620241969
Campbellsville620171966
Lovell620191966
Oliver Spgs620221966
Moscow520241976
White House520191966
Soddy519801967
Climer520041968
Signal Mtn420241979
Sweetlips420231966
Lewis Forest420241966
Petersburg420191966
Union Hill420241967
Mt Olive420241966

Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.