Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Florida
Downy Woodpecker in Florida has surged: up 236% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+236%Since 1968
116Routes In State
58Years
Notable Downy Woodpecker Trends in Florida
long arc increasecomputed index
Downy Woodpecker has surged in Florida: up 236% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Downy Woodpecker Population Forecast in Florida
If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 14% by 2029 — from 5.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.6 (95% range 3.4–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-14%Change by 2029
4.6Projected 2029 index
3.4–5.895% range
±16.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 5.5 |
| 2026 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 5.6 |
| 2027 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 5.6 |
| 2028 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 5.7 |
| 2029 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 5.8 |
Downy Woodpecker Survey Routes in Florida
| Nobleton | 20 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Croom | 20 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Osceola | 17 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Callahan | 15 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Citrus Park | 14 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Green Swamp | 13 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Island Grove | 11 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Doctors Inlet 2 | 11 | 2017 | 2008 |
| Sanderson 2 | 11 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Dowling Park | 10 | 2023 | 1987 |
| Citrus | 10 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Flemington | 9 | 1999 | 1988 |
| Laurel Hill | 9 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Goethe | 9 | 2024 | 2010 |
| San Antonio | 8 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Childs | 8 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Bloxham | 8 | 2022 | 1987 |
| Winter Gardn | 8 | 2019 | 1987 |
| Mt. Olive | 8 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Seminole Hills 2 | 8 | 2022 | 2012 |
| Chassahowitz | 8 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Belmore | 7 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Betts | 7 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Hixtown Swmp | 7 | 2023 | 1987 |
| Mabel 2 | 7 | 2019 | 2012 |
Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.