Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in California
Downy Woodpecker in California has increased: up 33% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+33%Since 1970
157Routes In State
56Years
Notable Downy Woodpecker Trends in California
No notable trend signals for Downy Woodpecker in California. See the full index history below.
Downy Woodpecker Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in California is projected to fall about 24% by 2029 — from 0.52 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.39 (95% range 0.24–0.55). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-24%Change by 2029
0.39Projected 2029 index
0.24–0.5595% range
±13.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.39 | 0.23 | 0.54 |
| 2026 | 0.39 | 0.23 | 0.54 |
| 2027 | 0.39 | 0.24 | 0.54 |
| 2028 | 0.39 | 0.24 | 0.55 |
| 2029 | 0.39 | 0.24 | 0.55 |
Downy Woodpecker Survey Routes in California
| Genesee | 7 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Higgins Corn | 7 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Point Reyes | 5 | 2023 | 1971 |
| Offield Mtn | 5 | 2013 | 2011 |
| Glen Ellen | 5 | 2002 | 1972 |
| Harbor Lake 2 | 5 | 2022 | 2014 |
| Redwood N.P. | 5 | 2010 | 2004 |
| Ono | 4 | 2012 | 1984 |
| Cleveland Nf | 4 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Pescadero | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Nubieber | 3 | 2007 | 1989 |
| Pennington | 3 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Cohasset | 3 | 2018 | 1973 |
| Fairfax | 3 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Fallsvale | 3 | 1981 | 1972 |
| Lake Cachuma | 3 | 1997 | 1974 |
| Jackson | 3 | 1992 | 1986 |
| Lakeshore | 3 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Glen Ellen 2 | 3 | 2022 | 2005 |
| San Benito Mtn. | 3 | 2005 | 2003 |
| Cecilville | 3 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Horse Creek | 2 | 2019 | 1978 |
| Hullville | 2 | 2013 | 1974 |
| Westville | 2 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Fish Rock | 2 | 2013 | 1970 |
Downy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.