BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Downy Woodpecker In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Downy Woodpecker in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 194% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+194%Since 1968
161Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Downy Woodpecker has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 194% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.8 (95% range 2.1–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2029
2.8Projected 2029 index
2.1–3.595% range
±12.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.72.03.4
20262.72.03.4
20272.72.03.4
20282.82.13.4
20292.82.13.5

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Downy Woodpecker in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
GalesburgMICHIGAN182024
No BradleyMICHIGAN132024
Belding 2MICHIGAN122024
CohoctahMICHIGAN112024
HartlandMICHIGAN112009
ParisWISCONSIN92024
PrattvilleMICHIGAN82021
LapeerMICHIGAN82024
NashvilleMICHIGAN72024
HowardsvilleMICHIGAN72024
AlmenaMICHIGAN72015
OsseoMINNESOTA72024
CadottWISCONSIN72024
PardeevilleWISCONSIN72024
Omro 2WISCONSIN72024
MerideanWISCONSIN72024
Prairie Du ChienWISCONSIN72024
LakevilleINDIANA62024
LaporteINDIANA62023
BeldingMICHIGAN62003
Barry S.G.A.MICHIGAN62012
Chippewa Lk.MICHIGAN52024
Chatfield 2MINNESOTA52024
EsdaileWISCONSIN52015
Wis RapidsWISCONSIN52022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.