Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Downy Woodpecker In Shortgrass Prairie
Downy Woodpecker in Shortgrass Prairie has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
-35%Since 1975
30Routes In Region
45Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Downy Woodpecker in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 40% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-40%Change by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1095% range
±50.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| 2028 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| 2029 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
| Doyle Bridge 2 | COLORADO | 12 | 2011 |
| Crawford | NEBRASKA | 4 | 2024 |
| Murray Lake | NEBRASKA | 3 | 2005 |
| Fleming | COLORADO | 2 | 2006 |
| Paxton | NEBRASKA | 2 | 2012 |
| Miami | TEXAS | 2 | 2009 |
| Kiowa | COLORADO | 1 | 2009 |
| Abarr | COLORADO | 1 | 1993 |
| Adams Co. | COLORADO | 1 | 2019 |
| Kiowa 2 | COLORADO | 1 | 2019 |
| Doyle Bridge | COLORADO | 1 | 1994 |
| Nunn | COLORADO | 1 | 2004 |
| Fort Morgan | COLORADO | 1 | 1999 |
| Julesburg | COLORADO | 1 | 2018 |
| Bennett | COLORADO | 1 | 2012 |
| Elbert | COLORADO | 1 | 2021 |
| Prospect Valley 2 | COLORADO | 1 | 2021 |
| Arsenal | COLORADO | 1 | 2011 |
| Arsenal 2 | COLORADO | 1 | 2022 |
| Dalton | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2015 |
| Agate | NEBRASKA | 1 | 1988 |
| Kimball | NEBRASKA | 1 | 1978 |
| Agate 2 | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2023 |
| Hay Springs | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2021 |
| Pine Ridge | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.