Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Downy Woodpecker In Oaks and Prairies
Downy Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies has risen sharply: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+74%Since 1969
62Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Downy Woodpecker has risen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.7 (95% range 1.7–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+7%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
1.7–3.695% range
±36.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| 2026 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| 2027 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| 2028 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| 2029 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3.6 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Heyburn | OKLAHOMA | 10 | 2024 |
| Oak Grove 2 | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Wills Point | TEXAS | 8 | 2023 |
| Mill Creek | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 2017 |
| Noble | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 2024 |
| Ola | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Weatherford | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Cayuga | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Bonner | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Carlos | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Tatums | OKLAHOMA | 5 | 2024 |
| Lydia | TEXAS | 5 | 2023 |
| Miller Grove | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Thornton 3 | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Beggs | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 2023 |
| Duncan | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 2024 |
| Gause | TEXAS | 4 | 1997 |
| Selden | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Burton | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Skiatook | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2019 |
| Oak Grove | TEXAS | 3 | 1999 |
| Massey Lake | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Dike | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Sadler | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.