BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Downy Woodpecker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

Downy Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has increased: up 43% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+43%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
161Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Downy Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast. See the full index history below.

Downy Woodpecker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 19% by 2030 — from 4.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 4.2–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.2–6.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 19% by 2030 — from 4.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 4.2–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.24.16.3
20275.24.16.4
20285.34.16.4
20295.34.26.5
20305.44.26.5

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Downy Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
WarrenCONNECTICUT202011
UncasvilleCONNECTICUT162025
MadisonMARYLAND162025
Island CreekMARYLAND152025
NewburyportMASSACHUSETTS152022
DoverNEW-HAMPSHIRE142025
Jones BeachNEW-YORK132013
Wallum LakeRHODE-ISLAND132025
GreenwichCONNECTICUT122018
HongaMARYLAND122025
Forest GroveMARYLAND122023
Furnace TownMARYLAND122025
MaynardMASSACHUSETTS122025
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS122025
HoldenMASSACHUSETTS122025
Cape May ChNEW-JERSEY122013
N OxfordMASSACHUSETTS112025
MansfieldMASSACHUSETTS112025
S BarreMASSACHUSETTS112025
Mt PleasantDELAWARE102019
BeltsvilleMARYLAND102012
BedfordNEW-YORK101996
Long HillCONNECTICUT92019
PepperboxDELAWARE92016
Casimir Pulaski SfRHODE-ISLAND92018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.