BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Downy Woodpecker In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieForest birds

Downy Woodpecker in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 107% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+107%Since 1968
275Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Downy Woodpecker has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 107% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Downy Woodpecker in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 14% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.7–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-14%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
1.7–2.895% range
±18.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.21.62.8
20262.21.62.8
20272.21.62.8
20282.21.62.8
20292.21.72.8

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Downy Woodpecker in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
FrazierMISSOURI162024
MoselleMISSOURI162024
New PointMISSOURI142024
EmdenMISSOURI142024
KearneyMISSOURI122024
HarveysburgOHIO121996
Witts StationINDIANA112024
NorborneMISSOURI112023
SticklervillMISSOURI102024
AuburnMISSOURI102024
WayneILLINOIS92024
House SpringsMISSOURI92024
River FallsWISCONSIN92024
BelleviewILLINOIS82024
MonticelloINDIANA82024
WallaceINDIANA82024
OhioMISSOURI82024
GildehouseMISSOURI81989
Kahoka2MISSOURI82024
MilfordMISSOURI82024
SheffieldILLINOIS72024
MonicaILLINOIS72016
St MorganILLINOIS72022
HuntsvilleMISSOURI72024
West ElktonOHIO72012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.