Species · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing

BombycillidaeForest birdsBombycilla cedrorum

Cedar Waxwing has surged: up 87% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Cedar Waxwing

A sleek, masked songbird with waxy red wingtips, the Cedar Waxwing wanders in flocks after fruit and is one of the most frugivorous of North American birds.

Size
6–7 in long, about 1.1 oz (15–18 cm, 32 g)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Sugary fruit and berries year-round, with insects in summer.
Range
Recorded on 2,285 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 46 states, most concentrated in the Appalachian Mountains.
Family
Bombycillidae · Forest birds
Conservation
Least Concern

Notable Cedar Waxwing TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

Cedar Waxwing has surged in surveyed states: up 87% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Cedar Waxwing Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 3.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.2 (95% range 3.1–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.7%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 3.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.2 (95% range 3.1–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.7%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.03.05.1
20264.13.05.1
20274.13.05.2
20284.13.15.2
20294.23.15.2

Where the Cedar Waxwing Is Detected

BBS routes recording Cedar Waxwing, sized by most recent count.

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend by State

Cedar Waxwing population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabama+46%197836
Alaska+4%200210
Arkansas-55%199311
California-35%197045
Colorado+371%199332
Connecticut+237%196820
Delaware+96%198317
Georgia+87%197821
Idaho+68%197247
Illinois+633%1968105
Indiana+452%197068
Iowa+644%197038
Kansas+338%198630
Kentucky+745%196859
Maine+57%196877
Maryland20×196874
Massachusetts+289%196832
Michigan+152%1968108
Minnesota-3%196989
Mississippiinsufficient datan/a5
Missouri+81%197677
Montana+560%197182
Nebraska+389%198247
Nevadainsufficient datan/a5
New Hampshire+43%196826
New Jersey30×197238
New Mexicoinsufficient datan/a4
New York+160%1968128
North Carolina+310%197276
North Dakota+173%196946
Ohio+372%196888
Oklahomainsufficient datan/a3
Oregon+48%197084
Pennsylvania+348%1968135
Rhode Island11×19736
South Carolina+39%199012
South Dakota+582%198032
Tennessee+822%196846
Texasinsufficient datan/a2
Utah+24%199420
Vermont+51%196826
Virginia+337%196882
Washington-39%197095
West Virginia+172%196863
Wisconsin+43%196898
Wyoming+134%197540

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Cedar Waxwing population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Northern Pacific Rainforest-12%1970109
Great Basin+0%1970112
Northern Rockies+491%1970133
Prairie Potholes+196%196995
Boreal Hardwood Transition-4%1968127
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain+201%196886
Atlantic Northern Forest+35%1968155
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau+345%198650
Badlands and Prairies+395%196967
Central Mixed Grass Prairie+111%198739
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie+643%1968258
Prairie Hardwood Transition+185%1968161
Central Hardwoods+962%1968137
Mississippi Alluvial Valley-31%19937
Southeastern Coastal Plain+96%198862
Appalachian Mountains+320%1968386
Piedmont+770%1969118
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast+740%1968155
Coastal California-78%197112

Cedar Waxwing Conservation Status

Least Concern

The IUCN Red List rates this species as Least Concern. Our route-weighted index shows it up about 87% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.