Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in California
Cedar Waxwing in California has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-35%Since 1970
45Routes In State
55Years
Notable Cedar Waxwing Trends in California
No notable trend signals for Cedar Waxwing in California. See the full index history below.
Cedar Waxwing Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in California is projected to fall about 39% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.34 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-39%Change by 2029
0.34Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±31.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2027 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
Cedar Waxwing Survey Routes in California
| Red Bluff | 33 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Gold Hill | 30 | 2010 | 2001 |
| Iron Gate | 24 | 2010 | 1988 |
| Yolla Bolly | 24 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Calpella | 20 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Orange Cove | 20 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Fairfax | 20 | 1990 | 1986 |
| Crescent Cty | 19 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Dorris | 15 | 2012 | 2010 |
| Santa Ynez | 12 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Longvale | 10 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Orleans | 9 | 1987 | 1981 |
| Lone Pine | 8 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Horse Creek | 6 | 2015 | 1972 |
| Auburn | 5 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Rio Dell | 5 | 2011 | 1972 |
| Bodega Bay | 4 | 2016 | 1976 |
| Glen Ellen | 4 | 1991 | 1976 |
| Nubieber | 3 | 2004 | 1998 |
| Mccloud | 3 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Alderpoint | 3 | 1992 | 1984 |
| Genesee | 3 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Laytonville | 3 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Staten Is. | 3 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Redwood N.P. | 2 | 2009 | 1995 |
Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.