BirdAnalyst
Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Virginia

All statesGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Virginia has surged: up 337% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+337%Since 1968
82Routes In State
58Years

Notable Cedar Waxwing Trends in Virginia

long arc increasecomputed index

Cedar Waxwing has surged in Virginia: up 337% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Cedar Waxwing Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Virginia is projected to rise about 76% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.4 (95% range 2.7–6.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+76%Change by 2029
4.4Projected 2029 index
2.7–6.195% range
±45.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.12.45.8
20264.22.55.9
20274.32.66.0
20284.32.66.0
20294.42.76.1

Cedar Waxwing Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Virginia.
Natural Brid1620241988
Appomattox1520162000
Brodnax1420231985
Big Meadows1420241993
Great Falls1219681967
Blacksburg1120241988
Hebron1020221982
Shenandoa Np920241993
Surry820211994
Iron Mountain 2820132012
Mannboro720231993
White Stone720231986
Pungo720241993
Hebron 2720242023
Front Royal720241993
Iron Mountain 3720232015
Port Royal520191986
Wylliesburg520161993
Branchville520242011
Truhart520241997
Edinburg420241971
Hall420231987
Marion419821982
Dryden420051991
Potts Mtn.420131993

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontwashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.