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Species · Indiana · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Indiana

All statesForest birds

Cedar Waxwing in Indiana has surged: up 466% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+466%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
68Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cedar Waxwing Trends in IndianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Cedar Waxwing has surged in Indiana: up 466% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Cedar Waxwing Population Forecast in Indiana

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Indiana is projected to rise about 69% by 2030 — from 5.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.4 (95% range 5.1–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+69%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.1–1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±82.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Indiana is projected to rise about 69% by 2030 — from 5.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.4 (95% range 5.1–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20267.94.611
20278.14.711
20288.24.812
20298.35.012
20308.45.112

Cedar Waxwing Survey Routes in Indiana

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Indiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Packertown3320041969
Indian Spgs2820251988
Brookville2720251969
Celestine2220251984
Middlebury1820251989
Middletown1320241978
New Phila1320251982
Monticello1220251981
Friendswood1120241987
Jamestown1020251986
Scottsburg1020251983
Knox920251982
Kankakee Sands920252000
Columbia Cty820241983
Georgia820251999
Hebron720251977
Wabash720241982
Belmont720241981
Laporte720241999
Wallace720242000
Anderson720242000
Muncie619971990
Spencer620241970
Brazil520251975
Newberry520251999

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.