BirdAnalyst
Species · South Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in South Dakota

All statesGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in South Dakota has surged: up 582% on the route-weighted index since 1980.

+582%Since 1980
32Routes In State
35Years

Notable Cedar Waxwing Trends in South Dakota

long arc increasecomputed index

Cedar Waxwing has surged in South Dakota: up 582% on the route-weighted index since 1980.

Cedar Waxwing Population Forecast in South Dakota

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in South Dakota is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 0.59 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.52 (95% range 0.04–0.99). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±359.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029
0.52Projected 2029 index
0.04–0.9995% range
±359.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.480.010.95
20260.490.020.96
20270.500.030.97
20280.510.040.98
20290.520.040.99

Cedar Waxwing Survey Routes in South Dakota

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in South Dakota.
Wind Cave Np920231999
Turton620172017
Howard320241994
Winner320172016
Volga320242008
Raymond320131983
Ft Thompson320022002
Wilmot320241997
Hazelrodt320162016
Rosebud220092009
Roswell220141994
Britton220181985
Volunteer220032003
Fort Pierre220152004
Gorman219801980
Reva220241993
Ardmore219961996
Hill City220072007
Black Fox220122012
Englewood220112011
Long Draw220242011
Rochford220092002
Lennox120152003
Tripp120141968
Geddes120222004

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.