BirdAnalyst
Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Alabama

All statesGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Alabama has increased: up 46% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

+46%Since 1978TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
36Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
35YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cedar Waxwing Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cedar Waxwing in Alabama. See the full index history below.

Cedar Waxwing Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Alabama is projected to rise about 99% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.28 (95% range 0.00–0.63). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+99%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.28Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.6395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±63.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Alabama is projected to rise about 99% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.28 (95% range 0.00–0.63). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.270.000.62
20260.270.000.62
20270.270.000.63
20280.280.000.63
20290.280.000.63

Cedar Waxwing Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Swaim2520211980
Whitehouse2520191993
Vina1520152002
Millerville1320072007
Hillsboro1219781978
Holt1220032003
Talladega1020232023
Mt Olive820211994
Valhermoso Spgs720072007
Dawson719941971
Stevenson720242013
Guntersville620051989
Summitt519801980
Mentone519981998
Lakeview520182006
Choccolocco520001990
Trade320102010
Sunny Eve319981976
Greensport320031990
Youngtown320072001
Vernon319971997
Courtland320152003
Greensboro220142014
Borden Springs 2220182018
Jena219901990

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.