BirdAnalyst
Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Oregon

All statesGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Oregon has increased: up 48% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+48%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
84Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cedar Waxwing Trends in OregonNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cedar Waxwing in Oregon. See the full index history below.

Cedar Waxwing Population Forecast in Oregon

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Oregon is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 3.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.0 (95% range 1.6–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.0Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–4.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Oregon is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 3.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.0 (95% range 1.6–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.91.54.3
20262.91.54.4
20273.01.64.4
20283.01.64.4
20293.01.64.4

Cedar Waxwing Survey Routes in Oregon

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Oregon.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dayton6020241974
Derby4119931971
Nicolai Mtn.4120241993
Salem3320241993
Scappoose2720231995
Svensen2619921990
Molalla2520241994
Imnaha2120241968
Adair1920241971
Hells Canyon1920221998
Pendleton1320241983
Troy1320241995
Newbridge1320241992
Modoc Point1120181970
Sandy River1120061993
Bridgeport1020221986
Coquille1020241994
Green1020241994
Scio920241971
Joseph920241972
Wizard Falls820162016
Wedderburn720241974
Garfield720231974
Hazel Camp720211977
Trout Creek719971997

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.