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Species · Oregon · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Oregon

All statesForest birds

Cedar Waxwing in Oregon has increased: up 37% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+37%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
89Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cedar Waxwing Trends in OregonNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cedar Waxwing in Oregon. See the full index history below.

Cedar Waxwing Population Forecast in Oregon

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Oregon is projected to fall about 13% by 2030 — from 3.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 1.7–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-13%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.7–4.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Oregon is projected to fall about 13% by 2030 — from 3.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 1.7–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.01.64.4
20273.01.64.4
20283.01.64.5
20293.11.64.5
20303.11.74.5

Cedar Waxwing Survey Routes in Oregon

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Oregon.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Scappoose4820251995
Derby4119931971
Nicolai Mtn.3220251993
Svensen2619921990
Salem2520251993
Adair2120251971
Garfield2020251974
Elkton1520251972
Bridgeport1420251986
Molalla1320251994
Santiam1320251995
Umpqua1220251968
Green1220251994
Modoc Point1120181970
Mt Hood1120251972
Sandy River1120061993
Dayton1020251974
Newbridge1020251992
Imnaha920251968
Modoc Point 2920252025
Hells Canyon920251998
Scio820251971
Wizard Falls820162016
Hazel Camp720211977
Troy720251995

Cedar Waxwing Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.