BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 962% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+962%Since 1968
137Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Cedar Waxwing has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 962% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 152% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 1.6–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+152%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
1.6–5.295% range
±55.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.21.45.0
20263.31.45.1
20273.31.55.1
20283.41.55.2
20293.41.65.2

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Central Hardwoods.
Levee 2KENTUCKY322019
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY292021
ReedsMISSOURI282019
SwaimALABAMA252021
YorkILLINOIS212023
Indian SpgsINDIANA172024
HodgenvilleKENTUCKY162003
Bays ForkKENTUCKY152019
LincolnMISSOURI152022
Sewell ShopKENTUCKY142023
HillsboroALABAMA121978
BirdsILLINOIS112022
CelestineINDIANA112024
ZionARKANSAS92021
PimentoINDIANA92022
BoxvilleKENTUCKY91983
PleasurevillKENTUCKY92024
PalaceMISSOURI82016
Valhermoso SpgsALABAMA72007
Cave In RockILLINOIS72024
BelmontINDIANA72024
DrakesboroKENTUCKY72003
GlencoeKENTUCKY72018
SpencerINDIANA62024
ScottsburgINDIANA62024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.