Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cedar Waxwing In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
Cedar Waxwing in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 643% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+643%Since 1968
258Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Cedar Waxwing has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 643% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 93% by 2029 — from 2.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.2 (95% range 3.6–6.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±58.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+93%Change by 2029
5.2Projected 2029 index
3.6–6.795% range
±58.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 6.4 |
| 2026 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 6.5 |
| 2027 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 6.6 |
| 2028 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 6.7 |
| 2029 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 6.7 |
Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
| Wayne | ILLINOIS | 34 | 2024 |
| Mcfall | MISSOURI | 34 | 2024 |
| Laclede | MISSOURI | 30 | 2023 |
| Kenton | OHIO | 30 | 2013 |
| River Falls | WISCONSIN | 27 | 2024 |
| Caledonia | ILLINOIS | 26 | 2024 |
| Union | ILLINOIS | 26 | 2017 |
| Barrington | ILLINOIS | 24 | 2011 |
| Marshall | ILLINOIS | 22 | 2023 |
| Fulton | OHIO | 20 | 2024 |
| Harveysburg | OHIO | 19 | 1996 |
| Itasca | ILLINOIS | 17 | 2024 |
| Mascoutah Lk | ILLINOIS | 14 | 2021 |
| Camp Point | ILLINOIS | 13 | 2023 |
| Middletown | INDIANA | 13 | 2024 |
| Dunlap | OHIO | 13 | 1988 |
| New Lenox | ILLINOIS | 12 | 2019 |
| Alden | ILLINOIS | 11 | 2023 |
| Friendswood | INDIANA | 11 | 2024 |
| Red Rock | IOWA | 11 | 2024 |
| Raymond | WISCONSIN | 11 | 2024 |
| Belleview | ILLINOIS | 10 | 2024 |
| Martinsville | ILLINOIS | 10 | 2021 |
| St Morgan | ILLINOIS | 9 | 2022 |
| Beaucoup | ILLINOIS | 9 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.