BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 201% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+201%Since 1968
86Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Cedar Waxwing has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 201% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to rise about 54% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 18 (95% range 11–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.6%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+54%Change by 2029
18Projected 2029 index
11–2495% range
±55.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025171123
2026171123
2027171124
2028171124
2029181124

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
HarmonsburgPENNSYLVANIA552023
Cicero CtrNEW-YORK482024
PenfieldNEW-YORK472024
ShaftsburyVERMONT452023
N WilmurtNEW-YORK431998
NashvilleNEW-YORK422018
AusterlitzNEW-YORK382024
CayugaNEW-YORK352024
GarrettsvileOHIO351991
OrleansNEW-YORK342024
BranchportNEW-YORK302024
Alder CreekNEW-YORK272004
OgdensburgNEW-YORK262024
New SomersetOHIO241993
E YoungstownNEW-YORK232023
HinesburgVERMONT221994
Ferris CrnrsPENNSYLVANIA202024
HiramOHIO192021
Ballston LkNEW-YORK171995
PulaskiNEW-YORK172024
ChurchvilleNEW-YORK162024
North EastonNEW-YORK162024
BalmatNEW-YORK162008
HighlandNEW-YORK152022
RandolphNEW-YORK152018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.