BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 395% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+395%Since 1969
67Routes In Region
52Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Cedar Waxwing has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 395% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 38% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.87 (95% range 0.39–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-38%Change by 2029
0.87Projected 2029 index
0.39–1.395% range
±75.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.820.341.3
20260.830.351.3
20270.840.361.3
20280.860.381.3
20290.870.391.3

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Badlands and Prairies.
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA422024
SavageMONTANA292013
HighwoodMONTANA172023
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA162024
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA132008
Reed PointMONTANA102024
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA102018
LindsayMONTANA92023
Wind Cave NpSOUTH-DAKOTA92023
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA82018
Gvnt ValleyWYOMING82012
Cabin CreekMONTANA72023
BrusettMONTANA62023
WyarnoWYOMING61993
Two DotMONTANA52014
CrookstonNEBRASKA52024
SeelyWYOMING51999
KayceeWYOMING52022
DaytonWYOMING42024
UptonWYOMING42024
CircleMONTANA31994
ShawmutMONTANA32004
ForsythMONTANA32022
LocateMONTANA32022
BrandenbergMONTANA32019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.