BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 185% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+185%Since 1968
161Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Cedar Waxwing has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 185% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 7.9–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+17%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
7.9–1695% range
±63.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025127.416
2026127.516
2027127.616
2028127.716
2029127.916

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Drayton PlnsMICHIGAN631987
CohoctahMICHIGAN452024
WhitewaterMINNESOTA452000
GalesburgMICHIGAN382024
CascoWISCONSIN362024
Fall RiverWISCONSIN342024
PackertownINDIANA332004
PardeevilleWISCONSIN312024
HowardsvilleMICHIGAN302024
Brook ParkMINNESOTA292024
Chippewa Lk.MICHIGAN282024
Mukwonago 2WISCONSIN282024
MerrillWISCONSIN272024
BravoMICHIGAN262023
No BradleyMICHIGAN252024
LawrenceMICHIGAN242024
AdrianMICHIGAN242017
HudsonWISCONSIN242023
ParisWISCONSIN242024
HomerMICHIGAN232021
HebronWISCONSIN232024
MiddleburyINDIANA222024
CoopersvilleMICHIGAN222024
Cherry ValILLINOIS212003
OmroWISCONSIN212001

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.