BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 320% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+320%Since 1968
386Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Cedar Waxwing has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 320% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 47% by 2029 — from 7.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 8.4–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+47%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
8.4–1495% range
±39.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025117.913
2026118.013
2027118.113
2028118.313
2029118.414

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Appalachian Mountains.
BismarkWEST-VIRGINIA1032021
Roulette 2PENNSYLVANIA732024
FinzelMARYLAND602024
McdonoughNEW-YORK582017
RoulettePENNSYLVANIA472021
LynchPENNSYLVANIA422024
BetulaPENNSYLVANIA402022
JenningsMARYLAND372024
MunsonPENNSYLVANIA372024
N Pine GrovePENNSYLVANIA332024
Ltl Pine CrPENNSYLVANIA332024
StonecreekOHIO322024
RidgwayPENNSYLVANIA322018
MeridaleNEW-YORK312024
RosecransPENNSYLVANIA292024
PoyntellePENNSYLVANIA282024
HonesdalePENNSYLVANIA272024
Plesant GrovPENNSYLVANIA262024
OakmanGEORGIA252017
WilliamsportMARYLAND252024
EldredPENNSYLVANIA252022
RasselasPENNSYLVANIA242022
ClintonWEST-VIRGINIA242024
CanadensisPENNSYLVANIA232024
Wayne N.F.OHIO222021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.