Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cedar Waxwing In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Cedar Waxwing in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 345% on the route-weighted index since 1986.
+345%Since 1986
50Routes In Region
35Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Cedar Waxwing has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 345% on the route-weighted index since 1986.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to rise about 59% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.27 (95% range 0.17–0.38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+59%Change by 2029
0.27Projected 2029 index
0.17–0.3895% range
±17.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 0.36 |
| 2026 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 0.36 |
| 2027 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 0.37 |
| 2028 | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.37 |
| 2029 | 0.27 | 0.17 | 0.38 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Ant Flat-Ogden Can | UTAH | 13 | 2023 |
| Ferron | UTAH | 13 | 2007 |
| Logan Canyon | UTAH | 7 | 2019 |
| Altonah | UTAH | 6 | 2007 |
| Kamas | UTAH | 5 | 2024 |
| Dolores Riv | COLORADO | 4 | 2005 |
| Paonia | COLORADO | 4 | 2023 |
| Nucla | COLORADO | 4 | 2021 |
| Cortez 2 | COLORADO | 4 | 2017 |
| Parlin | COLORADO | 3 | 1997 |
| Blackhead Pk | COLORADO | 3 | 2014 |
| De Beque | COLORADO | 3 | 2010 |
| Ragged Mtn. | COLORADO | 3 | 2019 |
| Yellowjacket Pass | COLORADO | 3 | 2016 |
| Moon Lake | UTAH | 3 | 2001 |
| Heber Mtn. | UTAH | 3 | 2013 |
| Fletcher Pk | WYOMING | 3 | 2024 |
| Yampa | COLORADO | 2 | 2023 |
| Buford | COLORADO | 2 | 2022 |
| Aspen | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
| Rosevale | COLORADO | 2 | 2011 |
| Summitville | COLORADO | 2 | 2015 |
| Dunckley Pas | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
| Deadman Rd. | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
| Walsenburg | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.