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Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest has increased: up 35% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+35%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
155Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

Cedar Waxwing In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 6.1–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+27%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
6.1–2095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±59.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 6.1–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025136.019
2026136.019
2027136.119
2028136.120
2029136.120

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Number FourNEW-YORK872016
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS712016
DegrasseNEW-YORK472024
NewcastleMAINE452024
Forest StaMAINE372000
ManchesterMAINE321995
WalpoleNEW-HAMPSHIRE322024
InletNEW-YORK322017
TurnerMAINE312010
LudlowMAINE301998
LempsterNEW-HAMPSHIRE302024
HudsonMAINE292016
East TroyMAINE282019
NorthfieldMAINE271981
Grnd Lk StrmMAINE272000
St DavidMAINE262005
CharlestonMAINE252019
ClarksvilleNEW-HAMPSHIRE242024
HighmarketNEW-YORK242024
DannemoraNEW-YORK242006
MiddlesexVERMONT242024
BrooksMAINE232019
WashburnMAINE232005
TopsfieldMAINE231996
Dexter LakeNEW-YORK221975

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.