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Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Cedar Waxwing In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestForest birds

Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest has increased: up 47% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+47%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
155Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

Cedar Waxwing In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to rise about 16% by 2030 — from 11 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 6.0–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
6.0–1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±55.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to rise about 16% by 2030 — from 11 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 6.0–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026136.019
2027136.019
2028136.019
2029136.019
2030136.019

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Number FourNEW-YORK872016
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS712016
DegrasseNEW-YORK472025
FletcherVERMONT472025
NewcastleMAINE452024
WanakenaNEW-YORK422025
Forest StaMAINE372000
GaysvilleVERMONT362025
ManchesterMAINE321995
InletNEW-YORK322017
TurnerMAINE312010
LudlowMAINE301998
HighmarketNEW-YORK302025
HudsonMAINE292016
NorthfieldMAINE271981
Grnd Lk StrmMAINE272000
KasoagNEW-YORK272025
St DavidMAINE262005
DannemoraNEW-YORK242006
WashburnMAINE232005
TopsfieldMAINE231996
LempsterNEW-HAMPSHIRE232025
Dexter LakeNEW-YORK221975
Northfld FlsVERMONT222025
MedwayMAINE212025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.