BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cedar Waxwing In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontGeneralists

Cedar Waxwing in Piedmont has surged: up 770% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+770%Since 1969
118Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Cedar Waxwing has surged in Piedmont: up 770% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cedar Waxwing in Piedmont is projected to rise about 100% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 2.8–6.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±64%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+100%Change by 2029
4.8Projected 2029 index
2.8–6.795% range
±64%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.42.56.3
20264.52.66.4
20274.62.76.5
20284.72.86.6
20294.82.86.7

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Cedar Waxwing in Piedmont.
ChesneeSOUTH-CAROLINA492002
EmmitsburgMARYLAND412024
MonticelloNORTH-CAROLINA302021
OlneyMARYLAND252024
IjamsvilleMARYLAND212024
West GrovePENNSYLVANIA211996
EarltonMARYLAND182024
MadonnaMARYLAND152022
AppomattoxVIRGINIA152016
BrodnaxVIRGINIA142023
MillervilleALABAMA132007
HiramGEORGIA121997
WheatonMARYLAND122024
LeolaPENNSYLVANIA122024
Great FallsVIRGINIA121968
CollegevillePENNSYLVANIA102024
Van BibberMARYLAND92013
CallNORTH-CAROLINA92023
Mt GretnaPENNSYLVANIA92000
Mount JoyPENNSYLVANIA92024
MooresvilleNORTH-CAROLINA82001
BiscoeNORTH-CAROLINA72005
Mount AiryNORTH-CAROLINA72024
Mt Gretna 2PENNSYLVANIA72022
MannboroVIRGINIA72023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.