Species · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Robin Population Analysis

TurdidaeForest birdsTurdus migratorius

American Robin has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the American Robin

A familiar large thrush of lawns, parks and woodland edges across the continent, the American Robin is one of North America's most widespread songbirds and a classic early sign of spring.

Size
9–11 in long, about 2.7 oz (23–28 cm, 77 g)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Earthworms and insects pulled from lawns, plus berries and fruit through fall and winter.
Range
Recorded on 3,808 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 49 states, most concentrated in the Appalachian Mountains.
Family
Turdidae · Forest birds
Conservation
Least Concern

Notable American Robin TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin. See the full index history below.

American Robin Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 29 (95% range 25–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, American Robin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 29 (95% range 25–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026292533
2027292533
2028292533
2029292533
2030292533

Where the American Robin Is Detected

BBS routes recording American Robin, sized by most recent count.

American Robin Population Trend by State

American Robin population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabama-21%196885
Alaska+35%1972131
Arizona+339%197038
Arkansas+8%196958
California+34%1970227
Colorado+17%1970156
Connecticut-10%196820
Delaware+59%196817
Florida+71%19908
Georgia+21%196890
Idaho-33%197065
Illinois+93%1968105
Indiana+122%196869
Iowa+165%196939
Kansas+76%196967
Kentucky+41%196864
Louisiana+127%196957
Maine-54%196878
Maryland+8%196876
Massachusetts-21%196832
Michigan+12%1968108
Minnesota+34%196992
Mississippi-52%196855
Missouri+8%196995
Montana+19%1970116
Nebraska+112%196976
Nevada+90%197044
New Hampshire-45%196826
New Jersey-9%196844
New Mexico-10%197056
New York+1%1968129
North Carolina+32%1968110
North Dakota+288%196951
Ohio+66%196889
Oklahoma-60%196966
Oregon-19%1970144
Pennsylvania-9%1968138
Rhode Island+116%19687
South Carolina-1%196847
South Dakota+196%196965
Tennessee+55%196855
Texas+38%1969104
Utah+7%197097
Vermont-36%196826
Virginia-37%196887
Washington-29%1970112
West Virginia-5%196864
Wisconsin+63%196898
Wyoming+6%1970125

American Robin Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

American Robin population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
BCR 2+698%198523
BCR 3-14%19954
BCR 4-26%197669
Northern Pacific Rainforest-3%1970164
Great Basin+32%1970245
Northern Rockies-51%1970223
Prairie Potholes+189%1969124
Boreal Hardwood Transition+1%1968127
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain+13%196886
Atlantic Northern Forest-43%1968156
Sierra Nevada-65%197040
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau+53%1970214
Badlands and Prairies+115%1969133
Shortgrass Prairie+343%1969112
Central Mixed Grass Prairie+207%1969118
Oaks and Prairies-65%196950
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie+88%1968278
Prairie Hardwood Transition+72%1968161
Central Hardwoods+34%1968165
West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas-68%196999
Mississippi Alluvial Valley+201%196854
Southeastern Coastal Plain+16%1968233
Appalachian Mountains-7%1968406
Piedmont-26%1968171
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast-4%1968164
Coastal California+118%1970114
Sonoran and Mojave Deserts-31%197113
Sierra Madre Occidental+99%197029
Chihuahuan Desert-45%197516
Gulf Coastal Prairie+51%19967

American Robin Conservation Status

Least Concern

The IUCN Red List rates this species as Least Concern. Our route-weighted index shows it down about 8% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.