BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Robin In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionForest birds

American Robin in Boreal Hardwood Transition has held roughly steady: up 1% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+1%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
127Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Boreal Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

American Robin In Boreal Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 30 (95% range 24–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–3695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 30 (95% range 24–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026302437
2027302437
2028302437
2029302437
2030302436

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording American Robin in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
GilmanWISCONSIN742025
CunardMICHIGAN732021
PhillipsWISCONSIN702025
MayfieldMICHIGAN662025
Hart LakeMINNESOTA662025
SkeelsMICHIGAN632015
PickfordMICHIGAN592025
Rib LakeWISCONSIN552025
Washington IWISCONSIN542025
Traverse CtyMICHIGAN521992
Pleasant Valley 2MICHIGAN522025
IronsMICHIGAN501989
BayfieldWISCONSIN492025
OberlinMICHIGAN482024
Iron RiverWISCONSIN482025
LudeMINNESOTA472025
BashawWISCONSIN472025
Amnicon FallsWISCONSIN452025
Bear LakeMICHIGAN432025
Eagle RiverWISCONSIN422025
Maple GroveMICHIGAN412025
Land O LakesWISCONSIN412016
OntonagonMICHIGAN402019
Walloon Lake 2MICHIGAN392024
Gibbs CityMICHIGAN382025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.