BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 4 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin In BCR 4

All regionsBCR 4Forest birds

American Robin in BCR 4 has edged down: down 23% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

-23%Since 1976
69Routes In Region
47Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for American Robin in BCR 4. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in BCR 4 is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 25 (95% range 13–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+15%Change by 2029
25Projected 2029 index
13–3695% range
±9.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025251436
2026251436
2027251336
2028251336
2029251336

Routes In BCR 4

Routes recording American Robin in BCR 4.
KachemakALASKA742024
TonsinaALASKA612021
WasillaALASKA591983
Anchor RiverALASKA522024
Ft. RichrdsnALASKA512023
Goose BayALASKA481982
DeltaALASKA472024
ChickenALASKA452024
Tower BluffsALASKA412023
WillowALASKA412024
SourdoughALASKA412024
ChistochinaALASKA372024
CottonwoodALASKA371990
McgrathALASKA342022
KalifonskyALASKA332023
Hatcher PassALASKA332024
Mt. FairplayALASKA322024
EagleALASKA302024
CohoeALASKA302023
Nabesna RoadALASKA292024
Kenny LakeALASKA282024
PetersvilleALASKA282024
Burma RoadALASKA282024
Caribou Mtn.ALASKA282024
Kanuti LakeALASKA272024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.