BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

American Robin in Oaks and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-56%Since 1969
49Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

American Robin has fallen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 94% by 2029 — from 0.49 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.95 (95% range 0.00–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±116%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+94%Change by 2029
0.95Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.895% range
±116%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.10.002.9
20261.00.002.9
20271.00.002.9
20280.980.002.8
20290.950.002.8

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording American Robin in Oaks and Prairies.
BeggsOKLAHOMA82023
OakwoodTEXAS81986
RhomeTEXAS82000
Gambill Ref.TEXAS72024
NobleOKLAHOMA52024
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA51977
SkiatookOKLAHOMA52019
LydiaTEXAS52022
GauseTEXAS41997
Wolfe CityTEXAS41987
HeyburnOKLAHOMA32024
Peach CreekTEXAS31986
Miller GroveTEXAS32024
HenriettaTEXAS32022
Thornton 2TEXAS32010
LocoOKLAHOMA21984
TatumsOKLAHOMA22006
Lone OakTEXAS22019
DallasTEXAS22023
WeatherfordTEXAS22021
DikeTEXAS22024
OlneyTEXAS21994
CayugaTEXAS22022
Thornton 3TEXAS22024
Wills PointTEXAS22014

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.