BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesForest birds

American Robin in Nebraska has surged: up 114% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+114%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
75Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Robin Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

American Robin has surged in Nebraska: up 114% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

American Robin Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 48 (95% range 39–57). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+5%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
48Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
39–5795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 48 (95% range 39–57). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025463755
2026463756
2027473856
2028473856
2029483957

American Robin Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording American Robin in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Surprise17920241967
Murdock17820242018
Kenesaw12720241967
Gretna11520181967
Winside11220031967
Gretna 29620242019
Kearney9520241968
Irvington9420241967
Richland9120241968
Sparta9120211967
Sargent8520242021
Winside 28220222005
Belvidere8120241967
Sumner8020241967
Hampton7920242018
Petersburg7620231969
Julian7220241969
Ponca6520242018
Lyons6520242018
Seward6120241967
Tilden5820242019
Thurston5720241967
Boelus5620222018
Maxwell5220242018
Chambers5120232023

American Robin Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.