BirdAnalyst
Species · West Virginia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Robin Population Trend in West Virginia

All statesForest birds

American Robin in West Virginia has held roughly steady: down 5% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-5%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Robin Trends in West VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in West Virginia. See the full index history below.

American Robin Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in West Virginia is projected to rise about 13% by 2030 — from 42 in 2025 to a central estimate of 47 (95% range 39–56). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
47Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
39–5695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in West Virginia is projected to rise about 13% by 2030 — from 42 in 2025 to a central estimate of 47 (95% range 39–56). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026473955
2027473956
2028473956
2029473956
2030473956

American Robin Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording American Robin in West Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Meadland17320251997
Ringgold8620252025
Dailey8320251973
Sugar Grove7320251966
Monongah6920221966
Hubbardstown6820251966
Smithfield6820251993
Mt Storm6619751966
Sleepy Creek6619901966
Mo Of Seneca6020251969
Slate5620251980
Ruthbelle5620251975
Ghent5120251978
Pt Pleasant5020251973
Rockport5020251966
Bismark4820251976
Arlee4719791966
Hix4520251970
Berryburg4419961975
Greer4320231966
Lost River4320251996
Albright4219741966
Meadowville4220251972
Bramwell4020251978
Hanover4020251980

American Robin Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.