BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Robin Population Trend in Georgia

All statesForest birds

American Robin in Georgia has edged up: up 21% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+21%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
90Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Robin Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Georgia. See the full index history below.

American Robin Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Georgia is projected to rise about 35% by 2030 — from 5.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 7.0 (95% range 2.8–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+35%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±70.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Georgia is projected to rise about 35% by 2030 — from 5.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 7.0 (95% range 2.8–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20267.02.711
20277.02.811
20287.02.811
20297.02.811
20307.02.811

American Robin Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording American Robin in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hiram7020181975
Kite Lake5720252015
Fairplay5519911966
Oakman4620241966
Stockbridge3820251975
Candler3620252009
Cartersville3520251966
Woodstock2920212006
Hollonville2820031973
Baxter2820221975
Linwood2520231970
Hollonville 22520222019
Hebron1920222005
Bowdon1520251973
Good Hope1520252005
Whitesburg1420251992
Yates Crossroads1420252005
Stoney Point 21420252013
Athens1220251966
Baldwin1220241967
Metasville1220001997
Shannon1020191975
Holly Sprs920021977
Amos Mill920222011
Davis Crossroads920252011

American Robin Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.