BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin Population Trend in Georgia

All statesForest birds

American Robin in Georgia has edged up: up 25% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+25%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
89Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Robin Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Georgia. See the full index history below.

American Robin Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Georgia is projected to rise about 104% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.2 (95% range 2.9–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±76.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+104%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.9–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±76.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Georgia is projected to rise about 104% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.2 (95% range 2.9–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±76.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20257.12.911
20267.12.911
20277.22.911
20287.22.911
20297.22.911

American Robin Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording American Robin in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hiram7020181975
Fairplay5519911966
Oakman4620241966
Kite Lake3220232015
Woodstock2920212006
Hollonville2820031973
Baxter2820221975
Candler2820242009
Stockbridge2720231975
Linwood2520231970
Hollonville 22520222019
Cartersville2220241966
Mountain Cty2020241975
Hebron1920222005
Bowdon1820241973
Davis Crossroads1620212011
Baldwin1220241967
Metasville1220001997
Tazewell1120181975
Ball Ground1120212019
Lincolnton 21120242018
Shannon1020191975
Pleasant Hill1020242005
Holly Sprs920021977
Amos Mill920222011

American Robin Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.