BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Robin In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

American Robin in Central Hardwoods has increased: up 34% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+34%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
165Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

American Robin In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 23% by 2030 — from 27 in 2025 to a central estimate of 34 (95% range 23–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+23%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
34Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
23–4595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±45.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 23% by 2030 — from 27 in 2025 to a central estimate of 34 (95% range 23–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026342245
2027342245
2028342345
2029342345
2030342345

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording American Robin in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PlumKENTUCKY1432025
WashingtonINDIANA1412025
GoshenKENTUCKY1331999
Buena VistaKENTUCKY1202017
PleasurevillKENTUCKY1072025
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY952021
GlencoeKENTUCKY822022
Sewell ShopKENTUCKY822025
HodgenvilleKENTUCKY772003
Levee 2KENTUCKY752019
ScottsburgINDIANA712025
EastviewKENTUCKY692025
ShelbyvilleKENTUCKY691978
CyprssINDIANA652025
KeysburgKENTUCKY652025
Indian MoundTENNESSEE651998
AvocaARKANSAS642024
CelestineINDIANA632025
BoxvilleKENTUCKY631983
SpencerINDIANA622024
MillionKENTUCKY621986
Million 2KENTUCKY622024
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE622025
LeveeKENTUCKY611982
HillsboroALABAMA601996

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.