BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

American Robin in Central Hardwoods has increased: up 29% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+29%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
165Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

American Robin In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 27 in 2024 to a central estimate of 34 (95% range 23–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+27%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
34Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
23–4595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±44.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 27 in 2024 to a central estimate of 34 (95% range 23–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025342345
2026342345
2027342345
2028342345
2029342345

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording American Robin in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PlumKENTUCKY1442024
Sewell ShopKENTUCKY1342023
GoshenKENTUCKY1331999
WashingtonINDIANA1242024
Buena VistaKENTUCKY1202017
PleasurevillKENTUCKY1062024
McbrayerKENTUCKY972024
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY952021
GlencoeKENTUCKY822022
ScottsburgINDIANA772024
HodgenvilleKENTUCKY772003
NewberryINDIANA752024
Levee 2KENTUCKY752019
ShelbyvilleKENTUCKY691978
Kings MtnKENTUCKY662024
YorkILLINOIS652024
Indian MoundTENNESSEE651998
AvocaARKANSAS642024
BoxvilleKENTUCKY631983
SpencerINDIANA622024
New PhilaINDIANA622024
MillionKENTUCKY621986
Million 2KENTUCKY622024
LeveeKENTUCKY611982
HustonvilleKENTUCKY612024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.