Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Robin In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
American Robin in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-69%Since 1969
99Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
American Robin has fallen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.3 (95% range 0.00–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+1%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.695% range
±86.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.6 | 0.00 | 4.9 |
| 2026 | 1.5 | 0.00 | 4.8 |
| 2027 | 1.5 | 0.00 | 4.8 |
| 2028 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 4.7 |
| 2029 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 4.6 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Massard | ARKANSAS | 25 | 2022 |
| Coal Hill | ARKANSAS | 22 | 2023 |
| Pocola | OKLAHOMA | 18 | 2016 |
| Mcalester | OKLAHOMA | 16 | 1991 |
| Blanco | OKLAHOMA | 15 | 2016 |
| Many | LOUISIANA | 9 | 1992 |
| Diboll | TEXAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Crows | ARKANSAS | 8 | 1991 |
| Blakely | ARKANSAS | 8 | 1999 |
| Canadian | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 2017 |
| Indianola | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 2024 |
| Sandbluff | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 1995 |
| Old Milo | ARKANSAS | 6 | 2014 |
| Stark | ARKANSAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Springhill | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2013 |
| Phillips | OKLAHOMA | 5 | 2008 |
| Easton 2 | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Locust Bayou | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2023 |
| Stephens | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Carterville | LOUISIANA | 4 | 1992 |
| Zwolle | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2017 |
| Pine Prairie | LOUISIANA | 4 | 1997 |
| Chandler 2 | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Weches | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Hollywood | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.