BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertForest birds

American Robin in Chihuahuan Desert has declined: down 29% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

-29%Since 1975
16Routes In Region
46Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 48% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.00–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-48%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.695% range
±27.4%Backtest error
19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.40.004.8
20261.40.004.8
20271.30.004.7
20281.30.004.7
20291.20.004.6

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording American Robin in Chihuahuan Desert.
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO482024
Laborcita 2NEW-MEXICO122024
MesillaNEW-MEXICO82000
San AntonioNEW-MEXICO51977
CanutilloTEXAS32024
CarrizozoNEW-MEXICO22024
JornadaNEW-MEXICO22021
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO22019
GageNEW-MEXICO11972
Red RockNEW-MEXICO12021
PinonNEW-MEXICO12024
QueenNEW-MEXICO12021
ColumbusNEW-MEXICO12022
EscondidaNEW-MEXICO12017
Lake ValleyNEW-MEXICO12006
Van HornTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.