Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Robin In Shortgrass Prairie
American Robin in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 292% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+292%Since 1969
111Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
American Robin has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 292% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 6.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.6 (95% range 5.4–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+21%Change by 2029
7.6Projected 2029 index
5.4–9.995% range
±39.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 9.5 |
| 2026 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 9.6 |
| 2027 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 9.7 |
| 2028 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 9.8 |
| 2029 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 9.9 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
| Lingle | WYOMING | 96 | 2024 |
| Elbert | COLORADO | 57 | 2024 |
| Hay Springs | NEBRASKA | 48 | 2024 |
| Berea | NEBRASKA | 37 | 2019 |
| Arsenal | COLORADO | 35 | 2015 |
| Champion | NEBRASKA | 33 | 2018 |
| Julesburg | COLORADO | 29 | 2021 |
| Fleming | COLORADO | 28 | 2024 |
| Paxton | NEBRASKA | 28 | 2016 |
| Murray Lake | NEBRASKA | 25 | 2024 |
| Brownson | NEBRASKA | 25 | 2021 |
| Prospect Val | COLORADO | 22 | 2000 |
| Dalton | NEBRASKA | 20 | 2024 |
| Pine Ridge | NEBRASKA | 19 | 2024 |
| Hudson | COLORADO | 17 | 2024 |
| Kirk | COLORADO | 17 | 2023 |
| Pine Bluff | WYOMING | 17 | 2024 |
| Adams Co. | COLORADO | 16 | 2022 |
| Fort Morgan | COLORADO | 16 | 2024 |
| Amherst | COLORADO | 15 | 2024 |
| Kimball | NEBRASKA | 15 | 2022 |
| Crawford | NEBRASKA | 15 | 2024 |
| Nunn | COLORADO | 14 | 2021 |
| Waverly | COLORADO | 13 | 2019 |
| Bennett | COLORADO | 13 | 2018 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.