BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyForest birds

American Robin in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 181% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+181%Since 1968
54Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Robin has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 181% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 8.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 10 (95% range 6.1–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+26%Change by 2029
10Projected 2029 index
6.1–1495% range
±43.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
202510.05.814
2026105.914
2027106.014
2028106.014
2029106.114

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording American Robin in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI492024
WilsonARKANSAS402024
WhittonARKANSAS351991
Baton RougeLOUISIANA342024
BlodgettMISSOURI292024
PawpawTENNESSEE282012
HarrisburgARKANSAS272019
DellARKANSAS272024
CommerceMISSISSIPPI261993
HaytiMISSOURI252021
DeventerMISSOURI202024
BardwellKENTUCKY182003
MoonMISSISSIPPI162021
KennettMISSOURI152024
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY142024
HughesARKANSAS132023
MaynardARKANSAS122024
TiptonvilleTENNESSEE122023
EnglandARKANSAS112024
KelsoARKANSAS82016
Augusta 2ARKANSAS82016
TchulaMISSISSIPPI81975
SaffellARKANSAS72019
MayflowerLOUISIANA72024
AugustaARKANSAS42001

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.