BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Robin In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

American Robin in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has held roughly steady: down 4% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-4%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
164Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast. See the full index history below.

American Robin In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 18% by 2030 — from 43 in 2025 to a central estimate of 50 (95% range 41–60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.1%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
50Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
41–6095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±26.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 18% by 2030 — from 43 in 2025 to a central estimate of 50 (95% range 41–60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.1%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026504160
2027504160
2028504160
2029504160
2030504160

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording American Robin in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PedricktownNEW-JERSEY3252012
Pedricktown 2NEW-JERSEY1892025
ManorvilleNEW-YORK1672024
BrocktonMASSACHUSETTS1642019
ClarksvilleNEW-JERSEY1301991
SouthingtonCONNECTICUT1192025
WarrenCONNECTICUT1162011
HolmansvilleNEW-JERSEY1142009
KeyportNEW-JERSEY1032022
HauppaugeNEW-YORK982018
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS902025
FredericaDELAWARE892025
MiltonDELAWARE892016
PrincetonMASSACHUSETTS891976
MysticCONNECTICUT882023
WoodstockCONNECTICUT882007
UncasvilleCONNECTICUT872025
Golden HillMARYLAND872025
PrattvilleMASSACHUSETTS862019
Warren 2MASSACHUSETTS852025
Quonset PtRHODE-ISLAND852025
Milton 2DELAWARE832025
NewburyportMASSACHUSETTS812022
Jones BeachNEW-YORK812013
Sachuest PtRHODE-ISLAND791990

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.