BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Robin In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestForest birds

American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest has declined: down 43% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-43%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
156Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

American Robin In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 26 (95% range 21–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
26Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
21–3295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±2.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 26 (95% range 21–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026282333
2027272233
2028272232
2029272132
2030262132

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CheshireMASSACHUSETTS1251994
WashburnMAINE1052005
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS962016
St DavidMAINE782005
MontereyMASSACHUSETTS672025
GaysvilleVERMONT602025
HardwickVERMONT602024
Ft FairfieldMAINE572005
SciotaNEW-YORK572006
ManchesterMAINE551995
Clayton LakeMAINE542008
East HavenVERMONT542025
BentonMAINE511980
Baker Lake 2MAINE512013
CornvilleMAINE502025
Crawford NotNEW-HAMPSHIRE481975
LudlowMAINE471998
Priestly Br.MAINE472013
WatervilleVERMONT461980
Northfld FlsVERMONT452025
TelosMAINE442006
N OrangeMASSACHUSETTS432025
LandgroveVERMONT432025
NorthfieldMAINE421981
Clayton Lake 2MAINE422013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.