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Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestForest birds

American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-42%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
156Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

American Robin In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 27 (95% range 21–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
27Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
21–3295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 27 (95% range 21–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025282334
2026282333
2027282233
2028272233
2029272132

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording American Robin in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CheshireMASSACHUSETTS1251994
WashburnMAINE1052005
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS962016
St DavidMAINE782005
ChesterfieldMASSACHUSETTS712024
East HavenVERMONT632024
HardwickVERMONT602024
Ft FairfieldMAINE572005
SciotaNEW-YORK572006
ManchesterMAINE551995
Clayton LakeMAINE542008
MontereyMASSACHUSETTS522024
BentonMAINE511980
Baker Lake 2MAINE512013
LandgroveVERMONT512024
CornvilleMAINE502024
WytopitlockMAINE481998
Crawford NotNEW-HAMPSHIRE481975
LudlowMAINE471998
Priestly Br.MAINE472013
WatervilleVERMONT461980
N OrangeMASSACHUSETTS452024
TelosMAINE442006
North RiverNEW-YORK442007
NorthfieldMAINE421981

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.