BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin In BCR 2

All regionsBCR 2Forest birds

American Robin in BCR 2 has surged: up 632% on the route-weighted index since 1985.

+632%Since 1985
23Routes In Region
36Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Robin has surged in BCR 2: up 632% on the route-weighted index since 1985.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 86% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 26 (95% range 12–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±127.4%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+86%Change by 2029
26Projected 2029 index
12–4095% range
±127.4%Backtest error
19832029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025251138
2026251139
2027251139
2028261239
2029261240

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording American Robin in BCR 2.
King SalmonALASKA582024
CouncilALASKA272024
DillinghamALASKA222019
NomeALASKA182023
Salmon LakeALASKA182024
Togiak RiverALASKA172005
St. Mary'SALASKA162014
Gweek RiverALASKA162002
TellerALASKA132024
Katmai N.P.ALASKA122022
TupuknukALASKA121995
Goodnews BayALASKA102005
Kugarak (Short)ALASKA101987
Dillingham (Short)ALASKA81984
Selawik (Short)ALASKA71987
Kotzebue (Short)ALASKA71994
Kanektok RivALASKA62005
Cape NomeALASKA32024
KodiakALASKA21983
Cold BayALASKA22024
Kodiak 2ALASKA22024
KotzebueALASKA22024
ChiniakALASKA12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.