Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin In Prairie Potholes

American Robin in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+163%Since 1969
124Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Robin has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 35 (95% range 29–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2029
35Projected 2029 index
294195% range
±5.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025342839
2026342840
2027342940
2028352940
2029352941

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording American Robin in Prairie Potholes.
PantherIOWA3142024
MccallsburgIOWA1282024
WinsideNEBRASKA1122003
SpartaNEBRASKA912021
WashingtonIOWA852024
ScrantonIOWA842024
Winside 2NEBRASKA822022
TitonkaIOWA732024
HuntleyMINNESOTA722024
ChandlerMINNESOTA682023
MaynardMINNESOTA672015
FairmontMINNESOTA652023
PoncaNEBRASKA652024
CourtlandMINNESOTA602024
HowardSOUTH-DAKOTA602024
VolgaSOUTH-DAKOTA602024
KanawhaIOWA582024
TildenNEBRASKA582024
WorthingtonMINNESOTA572024
ClareIOWA562019
OkleeMINNESOTA552021
TracyMINNESOTA552024
BurchinalIOWA542024
TrippSOUTH-DAKOTA542024
EdgeleyNORTH-DAKOTA532024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.