Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Robin In Prairie Potholes
American Robin in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+163%Since 1969
124Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
American Robin has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 35 (95% range 29–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-4%Change by 2029
35Projected 2029 index
29–4195% range
±5.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34 | 28 | 39 |
| 2026 | 34 | 28 | 40 |
| 2027 | 34 | 29 | 40 |
| 2028 | 35 | 29 | 40 |
| 2029 | 35 | 29 | 41 |
Routes In Prairie Potholes
| Panther | IOWA | 314 | 2024 |
| Mccallsburg | IOWA | 128 | 2024 |
| Winside | NEBRASKA | 112 | 2003 |
| Sparta | NEBRASKA | 91 | 2021 |
| Washington | IOWA | 85 | 2024 |
| Scranton | IOWA | 84 | 2024 |
| Winside 2 | NEBRASKA | 82 | 2022 |
| Titonka | IOWA | 73 | 2024 |
| Huntley | MINNESOTA | 72 | 2024 |
| Chandler | MINNESOTA | 68 | 2023 |
| Maynard | MINNESOTA | 67 | 2015 |
| Fairmont | MINNESOTA | 65 | 2023 |
| Ponca | NEBRASKA | 65 | 2024 |
| Courtland | MINNESOTA | 60 | 2024 |
| Howard | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 60 | 2024 |
| Volga | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 60 | 2024 |
| Kanawha | IOWA | 58 | 2024 |
| Tilden | NEBRASKA | 58 | 2024 |
| Worthington | MINNESOTA | 57 | 2024 |
| Clare | IOWA | 56 | 2019 |
| Oklee | MINNESOTA | 55 | 2021 |
| Tracy | MINNESOTA | 55 | 2024 |
| Burchinal | IOWA | 54 | 2024 |
| Tripp | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 54 | 2024 |
| Edgeley | NORTH-DAKOTA | 53 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.