BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Robin In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestForest birds

American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest has held roughly steady: down 1% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-1%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
163Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

American Robin In Northern Pacific Rainforest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 10% by 2029 — from 36 in 2024 to a central estimate of 32 (95% range 24–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
32Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–4195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 10% by 2029 — from 36 in 2024 to a central estimate of 32 (95% range 24–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025332441
2026332441
2027332441
2028332441
2029322441

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mendota 2WASHINGTON1592000
Port AngelesWASHINGTON1282024
Warm BeachWASHINGTON1082017
MukilteoWASHINGTON1002024
Vashon Is.WASHINGTON992024
DaytonOREGON972024
Sandy RiverOREGON972006
EverettWASHINGTON862024
Raymond 2WASHINGTON862024
GarfieldOREGON842023
South ElmaWASHINGTON822024
IlwacoWASHINGTON752024
HainesALASKA742024
OzetteWASHINGTON732024
RainierWASHINGTON732019
MontesandWASHINGTON722024
CamasWASHINGTON712018
CarnationWASHINGTON712024
DeceptionWASHINGTON712018
AdairOREGON682024
CanbyOREGON672024
Warm Beach 2WASHINGTON642024
SvensenOREGON621992
CougarWASHINGTON622023
Nicolai Mtn.OREGON612024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.