BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Robin In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestForest birds

American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest has held roughly steady: down 3% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-3%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
164Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

American Robin In Northern Pacific Rainforest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 17% by 2030 — from 39 in 2025 to a central estimate of 33 (95% range 24–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
33Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–4195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 17% by 2030 — from 39 in 2025 to a central estimate of 33 (95% range 24–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026332542
2027332542
2028332541
2029332441
2030332441

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording American Robin in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mendota 2WASHINGTON1592000
GarfieldOREGON1482025
Port AngelesWASHINGTON1272025
EverettWASHINGTON1162025
Warm BeachWASHINGTON1082017
DaytonOREGON1052025
Sandy RiverOREGON972006
MukilteoWASHINGTON972025
CanbyOREGON962025
CarnationWASHINGTON962025
TualatinOREGON922025
Raymond 2WASHINGTON862024
South ElmaWASHINGTON822024
Vashon Is.WASHINGTON792025
Mendota 3WASHINGTON782025
MontesandWASHINGTON722024
CamasWASHINGTON712018
DeceptionWASHINGTON712018
AdairOREGON672025
Pe EllWASHINGTON652025
IlwacoWASHINGTON642025
RainierWASHINGTON642025
Warm Beach 2WASHINGTON642024
SvensenOREGON621992
CougarWASHINGTON622023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.