Species · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-tailed Hawk Population Analysis

AccipitridaeBirds of preyButeo jamaicensis

Red-tailed Hawk has surged: up 239% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Red-tailed Hawk

The most common and widespread large hawk in North America, the Red-tailed Hawk soars over open country and perches along roadsides watching for prey.

Size
17.5–25.5 in long, about 2.6 lb (45–65 cm, 1.2 kg)
Habitat
Open country, woodlands, cliffs and wetlands, hunting from the air or a high perch.
Diet
Small mammals such as voles, rabbits and ground squirrels, plus birds and reptiles.
Range
Recorded on 4,034 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 49 states, most concentrated in the Appalachian Mountains.
Family
Accipitridae · Birds of prey
Conservation
Least Concern

Notable Red-tailed Hawk TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in surveyed states: up 239% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-tailed Hawk Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk is projected to rise about 36% by 2030 — from 1.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 1.5–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk is projected to rise about 36% by 2030 — from 1.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 1.5–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.71.41.9
20271.71.41.9
20281.71.41.9
20291.71.52.0
20301.71.52.0

Where the Red-tailed Hawk Is Detected

BBS routes recording Red-tailed Hawk, sized by most recent count.

Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend by State

Red-tailed Hawk population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabama+260%1968105
Alaska-27%198453
Arizona+127%197089
Arkansas+166%196960
California+36%1970260
Colorado+381%1970157
Connecticut+323%197420
Delaware+485%196816
Florida-1%1968107
Georgia+621%1968108
Idaho+345%197164
Illinois+138%1968105
Indiana+307%196868
Iowa+177%196939
Kansas+55%196967
Kentucky+373%196864
Louisiana+608%197182
Maine+483%197933
Maryland+478%196873
Massachusetts+784%196932
Michigan+227%196896
Minnesota+146%196986
Mississippi+920%197167
Missouri+93%196994
Montana+322%1970110
Nebraska+225%196975
Nevada+433%197053
New Hampshire+508%197122
New Jersey+972%197037
New Mexico+18%197083
New York+192%1968114
North Carolina+168%1968103
North Dakota+208%196951
Ohio+366%196889
Oklahoma+40%196970
Oregon+82%1970142
Pennsylvania+451%1968128
Rhode Island+125%19755
South Carolina-3%196850
South Dakota+185%196965
Tennessee+170%196851
Texas+62%1969236
Utah-32%1970112
Vermont-24%197123
Virginia+177%196877
Washington+188%1970107
West Virginia+287%197257
Wisconsin+59%196896
Wyoming+79%1970133

Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Red-tailed Hawk population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
BCR 4-59%198634
Northern Pacific Rainforest-2%1970137
Great Basin+184%1970262
Northern Rockies+213%1970219
Prairie Potholes+78%1969120
Boreal Hardwood Transition+23%1968108
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain+281%196883
Atlantic Northern Forest+28%196993
Sierra Nevada-29%197138
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau+71%1970236
Badlands and Prairies+899%1969139
Shortgrass Prairie+154%1969130
Central Mixed Grass Prairie+78%1969128
Edwards Plateau+15%197121
Oaks and Prairies+57%196974
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie+152%1968278
Prairie Hardwood Transition+93%1968160
Central Hardwoods+238%1968162
West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas+92%1969103
Mississippi Alluvial Valley+958%196967
Southeastern Coastal Plain+175%1968325
Appalachian Mountains+277%1968374
Piedmont+543%1968164
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast+479%1968151
Peninsular Florida-23%196868
Coastal California+77%1970121
Sonoran and Mojave Deserts+12%197083
Sierra Madre Occidental+90%197037
Chihuahuan Desert+13%196955
Tamaulipan Brushlands-8%197024
Gulf Coastal Prairie+98%197537

Red-tailed Hawk Conservation Status

Least Concern

The IUCN Red List rates this species as Least Concern. Our route-weighted index shows it up about 239% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.